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Showing posts with label Apollo. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Apollo. Show all posts

Jun 3, 2018

A Rock Designated ZLAF9B2(now 2018 LA) Social Media and Fireball Reports

On  2018-06-02 Richard A. Kowalski, with the Catalina Sky Survey reported observations of a "new" object, given  the observ3er-assigned temporary designation "ZLAF9B2", to  Minor Planet Center in Cambridge, Massachusetts, USA.  It was posted to the NEOCP(NEO Confirmation Page) making the observations available to asteroid and comet  researcher around the world.   The data was analyzed and posted JPL's Scout: NEOCP Hazard Assessment, independently analyzed and posted to Bill Gray's  Current NEOCP summary page. Then emails  to mailing list post to social madia started going out. It was know to be small at the start.

When wroke up on 2018-06-02 I check iTelescope.net and saw their facility in Siding Spring Observatory, AU was clouded out than I went out to eat breakfast.  When got back just to see what I would observe if I could observe, I check the NEOCP and saw that ZLAF9B2 was "bright",  and  then  check "The Minor Planet Mailing List {MPML}" Some of the asteroid and comet researchers where talking.  The Bill Gray sent and a number of  carefully worded emails to email list  stating ZLAF9B2 should be a "Priority Target".
 
One of the programs available to asteroid and comet researchers is Find_Orb it is useful for calculating approximate ephemeris, determining approximate orbits, residuals,  generating virtual asteroids, virtual impactors, predicting impact locations, and many other things.  It should be noted  IF one uses wrong setting one get a totally wrong solution. One things Find_Orb can be use for is generating a "asteroid risk corridor" with the help of Guide 9.1. This should be done with care because of uncertainties in  observations how one sets the over-observing parameters as well with other setting can the effect the results.  Bill Gray posted post a risk corridor for ZLAF9B2 and I thought I would give it a try. I had Find_Orb generated  virtual asteroids and virtual impactors using a  monte carlo process. 


Here is my TEST with Find_Orb using a monte carlo process see the files here

Here is my TEST with Find_Orb using a monte carlo process see the files here
Before I share my results ZLAF9B2(now 2018 LA)  "impacted" the Earth over southern Africa creating a Fireball. around 2018-06-02 16:45 UT and posts about impact started making.  After the impact two (pre-impact) follow up observations from ATLAS-MLO(Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System ---Mauna Loa) were posted to  the NEOCP(NEO Confirmation Page)  Then I did another  monte carlo process with the newly added ATLAS observations.

Test with the newly added ATLAS observations with Find_Orb
 using a monte carlo process see the files here
On 2018-06-04  the Minor Planet Center issues MPEC 2018-L04 : 2018 LA  Stating
"that the objectreached 50-km height above the Earth's surface around 16:51 UTC over southern Africa."

Timeline of SOME of the Post to Social Media














May 29, 2018

Re-Observing 2015 FP118 Another Look Almost Three Years later

When I am looking objects to observer, I try to find something within the capabilities of the telescope, interesting, and 'needing" observation. To these ends I check following lists:
On 2018-05-28 I saw  that 2015 FP118 was on both the Arecibo and Goldstone lists, needing astrometry,  and it was within the capabilities of iTelescope.net's (T27 TEL 0.70-m f/6.6 reflector + CCD) so I went for it. As I was create a directory so I could downloading the .FITS(Flexible Image Transport System) files I found out that I observed 2015 FP118  for  19.6 min on  2015-06-06.

The NEO 2015 FP118 on 2018-05-28 from
Siding Spring Observatory, Coonabarabran, NSW, Australia. (MPC Q62)
a stack of 45 - 60 second luminance BIN2 images
taken with iTelescope.net's (T27 TEL 0.70-m f/6.6 reflector + CCD)
By Steven M. Tilley

The NEO 2015 FP118 on 2015-06-06 from
 Siding Spring Observatory, Coonabarabran, NSW, Australia. (MPC Q62)
 a stack of 22 - 60 second luminance BIN2 images
taken with iTelescope.net's (T27 TEL 0.70-m f/6.6 reflector + CCD)
By Steven M. Tilley
 Background
(as of 2018-05-29)
  • Object: 2015 FP118
  • Orbit Type: Apollo [NEO, PHA]
  • Approximate Diameter: 370 m - 820 m(1213.911 feet to 2690.289 feet) (Absolute Magnitude: H= 19.3)
  • On the Sentry Risk Table: NO( Removed 2015-04-02 15:53:35)
  • On the NEODyS CLOMON2 risk page: NO 
  • Discovery observation was made on: 2015 03 21.57498
  • Discovery observation was made by Pan-STARRS 1, Haleakala (MPC Code F51) The Discovery M.P.E.C.:MPEC 2015-F132: 2015 FP118
  • Last Observation (publish): 2018 05 28.56107 (at iTelescope Observatory, Siding Spring, Australia (MPC Code Q62) )
  • Data-Arc Span (publish): 1164 days (3.19 yr) 
  • Number of Optical Observations(published):133
  • Observatories Reporting (Published) Observations(MPC Code):
    • (204) Schiaparelli Observatory,Italy. 
    • (290) Mt. Graham-VATT,US/Arizona.
    • (291) LPL/Spacewatch II,US/Arizona. 
    • (568) Mauna Kea, US/Hawaii.
    • (691) Steward Observatory, Kitt Peak - Spacewatch US/Arizona.
    • (703) Catalina Sky Survey, US/Arizona.
    • (711) McDonald Observatory, Fort Davis, US/Texas.
    • (807) Cerro Tololo Observatory, La Serena, Chile.
    • (926) Tenagra II, US/Arizona.
    • (D29) Purple Mountain Observatory, XuYi Station 
    • (F51) Pan-STARRS 1, Haleakala US/Hawaii. 
    • (G96) Mt. Lemmon Survey, US/Arizona.
    • (Q62) iTelescope Observatory, Siding Spring
  • Perihelion Distance 0.9541884017671265 (AU)
  • Aphelion Distance: 3.28765938878308 (AU)
  • Earth MOID (Earth center to NEO center): 0.029858 AU ((11.62 LD)), ( 701.09 Earth radii) or 2,775,474.494 miles ( 4,466,693.22 ( KM))[If the Earth was the size of a Basketball this would be 276.261 Feet(84.204 Meters)]
  • Next Close-Approach to Earth: Will safely pass Earth on 2018-Sep-03:
    • Minimum Distance(Earth center to NEO center) of 0.0314378825351047 (AU) (12.235  (LD)),  (738.195 Earth radii) or  2,922,333.75 miles ( 4,703,040.286 (KM)) 
    • Nominal Distance(Earth center to NEO center) of   0.031438612821003 (AU) (12.235 (LD)), (738.212 Earth radii) or  2,922,401.634  miles (4,703,149.536 (KM))
    • Maximum Distance(Earth center to NEO center) of  0.0314393431490244 (AU) (12.235 (LD)), (738.229 Earth radii) or  2,922,469.522 miles (4,703,258.791 (KM))
  • Goldstone Asteroid Schedule: Yes 2018 Sep (Needs Astrometry: Yes Needs Physical Observations: Yes)
  • On the Arecibo Asteroid Schedule:  YES,  Dates 2018 Aug (Request Optical Astrometry: YES , Request Optical  Lightcurve:YES, Request Optical Characterization YES) 

Apr 23, 2018

Confirmation images of the NEO 2018 HC1

A confirmation image of the NEO 2018 HC1 on
2018-04-21 from Siding Spring Observatory,
Coonabarabran, NSW, Australia. (MPC Q62)
a stack of 15 - 05 Second Luminance BIN2
images taken with iTelescope.net's
(T30 TEL 0.50-m f/6.8 reflector + CCD + f/4.5 focal reducer)
By Steven M. Tilley
A confirmation image of the NEO 2018 HC1 on
2018-04-21 from Siding Spring Observatory,
Coonabarabran, NSW, Australia. (MPC Q62)
a stack of 15 - 05 Second Luminance BIN2
images taken with iTelescope.net's
(T30 TEL 0.50-m f/6.8 reflector + CCD + f/4.5 focal reducer)
By Steven M. Tilley
A confirmation image of the NEO 2018 HC1 on
2018-04-21 from Siding Spring Observatory,
Coonabarabran, NSW, Australia. (MPC Q62)
a stack of 15 - 05 Second Luminance BIN2
images taken with iTelescope.net's
(T30 TEL 0.50-m f/6.8 reflector + CCD + f/4.5 focal reducer)
By Steven M. Tilley